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(2015). An Economic Study of the Determinants for the Supply Response of the Cotton Crop in Egypt. Assiut Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 46(6), 104-120. doi: 10.21608/ajas.2015.524
. "An Economic Study of the Determinants for the Supply Response of the Cotton Crop in Egypt". Assiut Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 46, 6, 2015, 104-120. doi: 10.21608/ajas.2015.524
(2015). 'An Economic Study of the Determinants for the Supply Response of the Cotton Crop in Egypt', Assiut Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 46(6), pp. 104-120. doi: 10.21608/ajas.2015.524
An Economic Study of the Determinants for the Supply Response of the Cotton Crop in Egypt. Assiut Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2015; 46(6): 104-120. doi: 10.21608/ajas.2015.524

An Economic Study of the Determinants for the Supply Response of the Cotton Crop in Egypt

Article 10, Volume 46, Issue 6, December 2015, Page 104-120  XML PDF (5.43 MB)
Document Type: Original Article
DOI: 10.21608/ajas.2015.524
Abstract
Farm prices are one of the key economic variables affecting the production
decisions of farmers through their response to cotton prices or to competitive
crops price in the same season, as well as some other economic variables that
specify the cultivated areas and quantities produced from cotton. So that the
study aims to assess the Egyptian cotton crop supply response functions in order
to identify the degree of response of farmers to price and some important
economic variables affecting the area under cotton In addition to estimating
elasticity respond to these variables during (1997-2013).
According to the results of instability coefficient estimated in the study,
there is a lack of stability in all the years of study in the area under cultivation,
production and farm price for cotton crop , where it came from all of them is
equal to zero during the study period.
There was a statistically significant response in the current area of cotton to
changes in the feddan productive variables, farm price and net income ,and the
total cost of feddan with a delay of one year, the longest response was for net
return, followed by both productivity, farm price and production costs per
Feddan. The results of estimating supply response functions to cotton crop by
using multiple regression nerlov model with explanatory variables of the
competing crops for the cotton such as net income for maize and rice to give a
total elasticity response about -3.17.
The current cotton area response to change in both the farm price for cotton,
corn and rice in the previous year, with total elasticity of respond about-0.23.also
there is a Response in the current cotton area to the change in all of the
production costs of cotton and corn and rice production costs in the previous year
with elasticity of response about -0.57.
Some recommendations can be drawn from the study: Need to find some
sort of price stability for the cotton crop, which leads to the stability of cultivated
areas and production of cotton, as well as the need to provide control over the
prices of inputs to ensure that the high production costs of cotton crop and the
reluctance of farmers growing the crop. You must provide information to farmers
about the competing crops for cotton
Keywords
n economic study; cotton-egypt- Display
Main Subjects
Agricultural Economic
Article Title [العربیة]
دراسة اقتصادیة لمحددات استجابة العرض لمحصول القطن فى مصر
Abstract [العربیة]
یعتبر القطن المصری احد المحاصیل الإستراتیجیة الهامة، نظرا لکونه من الدعامات
الرئیسیة للبنیان الاقتصادی القومی ، حیث تقوم علیة العدید من الصناعات المحلیة ، مثل
صناعة الغزل والنسیج وغیرها ، بالإضافة إلی استیعابه ما یزید عن ملیون عامل ما بین
الزراعة والتصنیع ، فضلا عن أهمیته التصدیریة ، و للقطن مکانة هامة فی التاریخ المصری فمنذ
بدء ظهوره فی أوائل القرن التاسع عشر وله دوره المؤثر علی الأوضاع الاقتصادیة و
الاجتماعیة والسیاسیة فی الحیاة المصریة ، ومنذ عام ١٩٨٠ تغیرت إستراتیجیة الدولة فی
التعامل مع ا لقطن زراعة و تجارة و صناعة و تراجعت زراعة القطن عاما بعد أخر ، حیث
لوحظ فى الآونة الأخیرة ان محصول القطن اصبح لا یمثل سوى ٢،٤٥ % من المساحة
- المحصولیة ، وحوالى ٤% من المساحة الکلیة المزروعة فى مصر کمتوسط الفترة ( ١٩٩٧
٦)، حیث انخفضت المساحة المزروعة من محصول القطن من ٨٦٠ ألف فدان عام ) (٢٠١٣
، ١٩٩٧ ، والتی أنتجت مصر خلالها ٩٢٩ الف طن قطن زهر ، إلى ٢٨٦ ألف فدان عام ٢٠١٣
والتى بلغ الإنتاج فیها حوالى ٢٥٢ ألف طن. کما لوحظ انخفاض نسبة قیمة صادرات القطن
. (٧)، من اجمالى قیمة الصادرات الزراعیة من حوالى ٤٢ % عام ٢٠٠٤ الى ١٢ % عام ٢
Keywords [العربیة]
دراسة اقتصادية، القطن- مصر- العرض
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